Shape of the Week · weekly
LASK Stuns Sporting CP
Week of Oct 26 · built from GoalPost's own numbers
LASK beat Sporting CP 3-2, a result GoalPost gave just a 6% chance before kickoff.
Viking have had the worse of the chances across 6 recent matches, yet they have finished about 1.9 goals a game better off than those chances would suggest.
That kind of edge usually comes from hot finishing or big goalkeeping, and it is not the sort of thing that tends to stick.
FC Lugano are living on the same edge across 7 recent matches, finishing about 1.9 goals a game better off than the chances they created and allowed would suggest.
Estudiantes de La Plata keep changing their starting lineup: 53 changes across their last 8 games, 7.6 from one match to the next on average.
Atlético Mineiro are doing the same thing, with 46 changes across their last 8 games and 6.6 from one match to the next on average.
What it reads
Earlier editions
- ADO Den Haag Stun PSVWeek of Oct 19
- LASK’s shots on target slippedWeek of Oct 12
- Charlotte FC's finishing keeps bailing them outWeek of Oct 5
- Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves produced the week's biggest forecast miss, with a Brier score of 1.400 against GoalPost's pre-match forecast.Week of Aug 24
- FC Nordsjaelland’s goal threat moved from 13 to 56 over the past week.Week of Aug 3
- San Diego’s possession share jumped from 24 to 62 over the past week.Week of Jul 27