Shape of the Week · weekly
Charlotte FC's finishing keeps bailing them out
Week of Oct 5 · built from GoalPost's own numbers
Charlotte FC have had the worse of the chances across 7 recent matches, yet they have finished about 1.2 goals a game better off than those chances would suggest.
That kind of edge usually comes from hot finishing or a keeper papering over gaps, and it rarely lasts forever.
Real Salt Lake have been on the other side of it across 5 recent matches, finishing about 1.1 goals a game worse off than the chances they created and allowed would suggest, so better results should follow if they keep making the same kind of openings.
Club América are still shuffling the deck, with 42 changes to their starting lineup across their last 8 games and 6.0 changes from one match to the next on average.
Malta and Gibraltar drew 1-1, a result GoalPost gave only a 17% chance before kickoff: the surprise result of the week.
What it reads
Earlier editions
- LASK’s shots on target slippedWeek of Oct 12
- Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves produced the week's biggest forecast miss, with a Brier score of 1.400 against GoalPost's pre-match forecast.Week of Aug 24
- FC Nordsjaelland’s goal threat moved from 13 to 56 over the past week.Week of Aug 3
- San Diego’s possession share jumped from 24 to 62 over the past week.Week of Jul 27