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Intelligence

The Desk

Today's football intelligence layer — model signals, match risk, player value, and tactical mismatches.

Smarter every day
GoalPost model updated
+ Jun 30, 2026, 8:50 AM ET
57%
Public reads held up
325 graded vs the closing line
Top Value
Rodri
Midfielder · Spain
GoalPost Rating
84
GoalPost Value
€93.8M
Current signal
→ Stable
Why he stands out

The best value in the tracked pool: GoalPost rates his ability above his price tier — the most rating per euro of value we track.

View full player profile →

02 Today's Match Signals

No open signals right now — new ones publish as today's fixtures enter the prep window.

Sharpest edge

No bookmaker odds are cached for today's Desk fixtures yet.

Goal Threat

No player on today's slate has enough covered Goal Threat (xG-lite) minutes yet.

Style clash

Style clashes need both teams to have tactical fingerprints from finished-match events.

03 · Player Value BoardSee all →
#PlayerPosGPSValue
1Vinícius JúniorMidfielder90€152M
2Kylian MbappéAttacker92€152M
3Lamine YamalMidfielder83€149M
4Erling HaalandAttacker90€142M
5Jude BellinghamMidfielder91€137M

Ranked by GoalPost Value (€) — our 0–99 read on current ability, anchored to market.

04 · Market MovesFull market →
PlayerMetricMoveΔ
VózinhaGPR Form9.407.63-1.77
Luka ModrićGPR Form5.507.10+1.60
Hazem MastouriGoalPost Value6268+6
Christopher WoodGPR Form8.707.13-1.57
Ciro ImmobileGoalPost Value5055+5

Biggest rating & value shifts since the 2026-06-21 snapshot.

05 · Map the Styles
Style map — how teams play

Tactical fingerprint landscape

KEEP IT TIGHTCONTROL & CREATEDEEP & DIRECTFAST & VERTICALDIRECTNESS, SLATE-NORMALIZED →POSSESSION, SLATE-NORMALIZED →Belgium — Balanced · possession 32 · press 50 · directness 33 · 3 matches sampled · thin sampleBelgium*England — Balanced · possession 42 · press 42 · directness 33 · 4 matches sampledEnglandNorway — Balanced · possession 23 · press 57 · directness 18 · 3 matches sampled · thin sampleNorway*Kazakhstan — High-press · possession 3 · press 91 · directness 25 · 1 match sampled · thin sampleKazakhstan*Panama — Balanced · possession 10 · press 29 · directness 14 · 3 matches sampled · thin samplePanama*Scotland — Balanced · possession 26 · press 46 · directness 11 · 3 matches sampled · thin sampleBosnia & Herzegovina — Balanced · possession 17 · press 56 · directness 14 · 3 matches sampled · thin sampleBosnia & Herz…*Netherlands — Balanced · possession 39 · press 48 · directness 17 · 5 matches sampledNetherlandsJapan — Balanced · possession 20 · press 29 · directness 11 · 4 matches sampledJapanSenegal — Balanced · possession 31 · press 46 · directness 22 · 3 matches sampled · thin sampleSenegal*Switzerland — Balanced · possession 41 · press 45 · directness 14 · 3 matches sampled · thin sampleSwitzerland*Ivory Coast — Balanced · possession 25 · press 64 · directness 2 · 3 matches sampled · thin sampleIvory Coast*Ghana — Balanced · possession 12 · press 53 · directness 1 · 3 matches sampled · thin sampleGhana*Congo DR — Balanced · possession 15 · press 53 · directness 23 · 4 matches sampledCongo DRSouth Africa — High-press · possession 28 · press 72 · directness 11 · 4 matches sampledSouth AfricaAlgeria — Balanced · possession 59 · press 61 · directness 7 · 3 matches sampled · thin sampleAlgeria*Cape Verde Islands — High-press · possession 13 · press 75 · directness 15 · 3 matches sampled · thin sampleCape Verde Is…*Jordan — High-press · possession 8 · press 79 · directness 23 · 3 matches sampled · thin sampleJordan*Thailand — High-press · possession 6 · press 97 · directness 0 · 1 match sampled · thin sampleThailand*China — Physically dominant · possession 32 · press 50 · directness 42 · 1 match sampled · thin sampleChina*Iraq — Balanced · possession 17 · press 68 · directness 10 · 3 matches sampled · thin sampleIraq*Uzbekistan — Balanced · possession 10 · press 64 · directness 6 · 4 matches sampledUzbekistanQatar — Balanced · possession 9 · press 51 · directness 13 · 3 matches sampled · thin sampleQatar*Mexico — Balanced · possession 23 · press 42 · directness 14 · 3 matches sampled · thin sampleMexico*South Korea — Balanced · possession 46 · press 39 · directness 6 · 3 matches sampled · thin sampleSouth Korea*Iceland — Balanced · possession 17 · press 20 · directness 5 · 1 match sampled · thin sampleIceland*Nigeria — Balanced · possession 13 · press 39 · directness 2 · 1 match sampled · thin sampleFrance — Balanced · possession 45 · press 61 · directness 24 · 4 matches sampledFranceAustralia — Balanced · possession 19 · press 52 · directness 22 · 3 matches sampled · thin sampleAustralia*Iran — High-press · possession 13 · press 80 · directness 33 · 3 matches sampled · thin sampleIran*Saudi Arabia — Balanced · possession 13 · press 69 · directness 5 · 3 matches sampled · thin sampleSaudi Arabia*Paraguay — High-press · possession 9 · press 90 · directness 22 · 4 matches sampledParaguayEcuador — Balanced · possession 30 · press 68 · directness 27 · 3 matches sampled · thin sampleEcuador*Chile — High-press · possession 16 · press 81 · directness 11 · 1 match sampled · thin sampleChile*USA — High-press · possession 43 · press 72 · directness 14 · 2 matches sampled · thin sampleHaiti — Balanced · possession 18 · press 70 · directness 17 · 3 matches sampled · thin sampleGermany — Balanced · possession 52 · press 63 · directness 18 · 4 matches sampledGermanyArgentina — Balanced · possession 50 · press 63 · directness 10 · 4 matches sampledArgentinaPortugal — Balanced · possession 44 · press 39 · directness 14 · 4 matches sampledPortugalTunisia — Balanced · possession 12 · press 68 · directness 18 · 3 matches sampled · thin sampleTunisia*Costa Rica — Balanced · possession 1 · press 50 · directness 0 · 1 match sampled · thin sampleCosta Rica*Croatia — Balanced · possession 26 · press 32 · directness 6 · 3 matches sampled · thin sampleCroatia*Morocco — Balanced · possession 48 · press 55 · directness 18 · 4 matches sampledEgypt — Balanced · possession 30 · press 68 · directness 14 · 3 matches sampled · thin sampleRussia — Balanced · possession 34 · press 68 · directness 38 · 1 match sampled · thin sampleNew Zealand — Balanced · possession 20 · press 48 · directness 18 · 3 matches sampled · thin sampleNew Zealand*Sweden — Balanced · possession 13 · press 40 · directness 20 · 3 matches sampled · thin sampleSweden*Trinidad and Tobago — High-press · possession 8 · press 75 · directness 7 · 1 match sampled · thin sampleTrinidad and …*Canada — Balanced · possession 20 · press 53 · directness 28 · 4 matches sampledCanadaCuraçao — High-press · possession 11 · press 82 · directness 32 · 3 matches sampled · thin sampleCuraçao*Brazil — Balanced · possession 46 · press 68 · directness 19 · 4 matches sampledBrazilUruguay — Balanced · possession 29 · press 59 · directness 20 · 3 matches sampled · thin sampleUruguay*Hungary — Balanced · possession 29 · press 50 · directness 30 · 1 match sampled · thin sampleCzechia — Balanced · possession 13 · press 37 · directness 19 · 3 matches sampled · thin sampleNorthern Ireland — Balanced · possession 11 · press 55 · directness 4 · 1 match sampled · thin sampleAustria — Balanced · possession 25 · press 59 · directness 11 · 3 matches sampled · thin sampleAustria*Türkiye — Balanced · possession 56 · press 44 · directness 30 · 2 matches sampled · thin sampleTürkiye*Colombia — Balanced · possession 34 · press 37 · directness 26 · 3 matches sampled · thin sampleColombia*Spain — Possession-dominant · possession 71 · press 56 · directness 18 · 3 matches sampled · thin sampleSpain** thin sample (<4 matches)

Fingerprints update as matches finalize. Dotted or faded rings are below 4 sampled matches.

Team Power Index

Full list →

National

Spain71.9
Netherlands64.4
Saudi Arabia32.7
Awaiting rated national side
Awaiting rated national side

Club

Bayern München66.3
Paris Saint Germain65.5
Arsenal65.1
Barcelona64.9
Atletico Madrid63.3

0–100 team strength — results, goal difference & recent form.

06 Model Checkhow the model is performing

View full audit →
Model accuracy
57%

185 correct of 325

Vs the market
Outcomes+0.077
Goal linestracking
Player ratingstracking
Today's confidence

0 reads

The Edgewhy the Desk gives you an edge

Proprietary model

GPS and Team Power rate the player and team pool every day.

Tactical intelligence

Style matchups, mismatches, and player roles from the archive.

Market inefficiency

GoalPost Value flags where the market over- and under-pays.

Actionable insight

Clear reads, built for decisions, then graded in public.

Intelligence you can use.

Every match. Every day.